Where is this market in its cycle?
Rung 8 of 10 · Cognitive verifier
1 · Learn the move · Cognitive verifier
A cognitive verifier forces the model to show its work: which indicators it's using, how confident it is, and every assumption it leaned on. Reading a market cycle is exactly where overconfidence bites, so make AI state its indicators, flag assumptions, and mark missing ones UNKNOWN. The result is a directional read to confirm against the source - not a prediction to bank on.
Read the market cycle, but list your indicators and confidence first.
2 · Your turn — you write the prompt
A seller wants to know if they're listing into a rising or cooling Lakewood market. You have: months of supply 2.4 (MLS, this month) vs 1.8 (MLS, six months ago), median DOM 31 (MLS, this month) vs 19 (MLS, six months ago), median sale price $525,000 (MLS, this month) vs $531,000 (MLS, six months ago). You have no absorption rate and no price-cut share. Write a prompt that reads where Lakewood sits in its cycle, makes AI state its indicators and confidence, flags each assumption, marks the missing indicators UNKNOWN, and labels the read directional.
Remember: the AI sees only your prompt — not this page. If the situation isn't in your prompt, it doesn't exist.
Optional — these shape the output when you run your prompt below, not your score.